Efe Ajagba Vs Stephan Shaw

A great fight coming this weekend between two hard hitting heavyweight boxers, Ajagba (16-1-0) Vs Shaw (18-0-0). This will be an intriguing fight both in terms of their styles and their experience as professionals.  

Ajagba 

Ajagba has been in with the likes of Frank Sanchez who I personally think will be a huge star in the coming future. He was out classed in this fight but did show glimpses of his previous success. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlCjJPT_30A - PBC ON FOX. (2022).Efe Ajagba vs Frank Sanchez | FULL HIGHLIGHT | PBC ON FOX [Boxing Highlight].

Shaw

Stephen Shaw is a very different boxer altogether, he's much cuter, likes to box & pick his shots. I would say he hasn't been up against talent like Frank Sanchez. However, he has shown the type of skills required that I think could see him coast to a points victory or a possible late stoppage victory.

https://youtu.be/11xO3-eDIIk - Top Rank Boxing. (2022). Heavyweight Stephan Shaw Drops Marquez 3 Times in Round 1, Gets Knockout Victory | FIGHT HIGHLIGHTS [Boxing Highlight]. 

The Odds

 Let's take a look at the betting odds and probability of victories from my above prediction. All odds displayed are from the Betfair Exchange at the time of posting this blog.

Stephen Shaw to win Any method:

Decimal: 1.82

Moneyline: -122

Probability: 54.9%

Example: £100 bet on this outcome will produce an £82 profit.

Or

$122 bet on this outcome will produce a $100 profit.

Stephen Shaw to win by Dec or Tech Dec:

Decimal: 2.28

Moneyline: 128

Probability: 43.9%

Example: £100 bet on this outcome will produce a £128 profit.

Or

$100 bet on this outcome will produce a $128 profit.

Value, Realistic & Unicorn bets

Value

Personally for me the value bet here would be Dec or Tech decision for Stephen Shaw. Even though we know he's got true power, Ajagba is a very durable opponent that can be put down but will be hard to keep down. He's got some great boxing skills which should be enough to see him over the line for a points victory. 

Realistic

Realistically I believe Shaw will win the fight, so the best bet here would just be Stephen Shaw to win the fight any method. This way we are covered if his power does come into play and he manages to take Ajagba out. We will reduce our profit, but profit is better than no profit right?!

Unicorn

The majority of this blog has been about Stephen Shaw and his skills however, the odds of Ajagba winning aren't too far away from Shaw's at all. For me I can only see Ajagba winning by a KO, TKO or DQ. Therefore it makes sense to have this as our outside chance with odds of 4 (decimal) & 300 (moneyline). This means £100 would give us a £300 profit or $100 would give us a $300 profit. A real solid profit, but our probability is severely reduced with this one.

- The Knockout Oracle

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed on this blog are solely those of the author and should not be considered as financial advice. We're just a bunch of words on a screen, what do we know? Always do your own research and make financial decisions based on your own unique situation. And remember, a little bit of humor and sarcasm never hurt anyone (except maybe your pride if you don't do your own research).